Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Gil Vicente |
44.35% ( 0.94) | 26.24% ( -0.19) | 29.41% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.11% ( 0.43) | 52.89% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.5% ( 0.36) | 74.5% ( -0.36) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.26% ( 0.65) | 23.74% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.13% ( 0.93) | 57.87% ( -0.93) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.38% ( -0.33) | 32.62% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.83% ( -0.37) | 69.17% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
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