Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio do Bessa Século XXI
Boavista0 - 0Arouca
We said: Boavista 1-1 Arouca
Boavista and Arouca are currently separated by just four points in the top half of the table and we anticipate a thrilling contest between two sides who will be eyeing a place in Europe. While Arouca have struggled for results away from home, we predict that they will hold out for a share of the spoils against a Boavista side who are unbeaten in eight of their last nine league matches at home. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
45.12% ( -1.39) | 25.99% ( 0.22) | 28.89% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
