Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.01%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
68.39% ( -0.18) | 20.11% ( 0.07) | 11.5% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 41.47% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.81% ( -0.01) | 51.19% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.97% ( -0.01) | 73.03% ( 0.01) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.03% ( -0.06) | 13.97% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.53% ( -0.12) | 41.47% ( 0.11) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.21% ( 0.2) | 51.79% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.13% ( 0.13) | 85.87% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 14.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 14.01% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.05% 4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 68.38% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 11.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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