Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
33.51% ( 0) | 26.67% ( 0.03) | 39.82% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.63% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.69% ( -0.13) | 53.31% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.14% ( -0.11) | 74.85% ( 0.1) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70% ( -0.06) | 29.99% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.89% ( -0.07) | 66.1% ( 0.07) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.75% ( -0.08) | 26.24% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.64% ( -0.11) | 61.35% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |