Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Porto has a probability of 33.56% and a draw has a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Porto win is 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.88%).
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
39.26% ( 0.4) | 27.19% ( -0.02) | 33.56% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 50.04% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.66% ( 0.04) | 55.35% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.45% ( 0.04) | 76.55% ( -0.03) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.49% ( 0.25) | 27.51% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.99% ( 0.32) | 63.01% ( -0.31) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.02% ( -0.22) | 30.98% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.72% ( -0.26) | 67.28% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.25% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 15 |
2 | Porto | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 12 |
4 | Benfica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Braga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
9 | AVS | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
11 | Casa Pia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 |
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