We say: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Porto
With both sides unbeaten in pre-season, Sporting Lisbon and Porto should be full of confidence heading into Saturday's Super Cup final in Aveiro.
That being said, the Leoes have to be the favourites against opposition who are still getting accustomed to the management style and tactics of Bruno.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Porto had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%).