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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Mainz logo

Hoffenheim
4 - 1
Mainz 05

Kramaric (53'), Promel (69'), Dabour (80'), Kaderabek (90+2')
Baumgartner (9'), Akpoguma (10'), Vogt (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kohr (83')
Svensson (43'), Onisiwo (85'), Bell (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Mainz 05

Hoffenheim have won both home matches with Mainz winning all three away, so something has to give here. With very little to split these two sides, we would not be surprised if both of those winning runs come to an end in the form of a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
51.33%23.42%25.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)17.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 51.33%
    Mainz 05 25.24%
    Draw 23.42%
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.33%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 25.24%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05

Hoffenheim
Draw
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
52.1%
Draw
25.0%
Mainz 05
22.9%
48
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Mar 21, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 29, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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