MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:54:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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Mainz logo
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Mainz logo

Augsburg
1 - 2
Mainz 05

Demirovic (35')
Gouweleeuw (3'), Rexhbecaj (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Onisiwo (31'), Jae-sung (90+3')
Bell (29'), Burkardt (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Mainz 05

With both teams adopting similar formations, we can envisage a low-scoring, tight encounter in Augsburg on Saturday. The visitors were involved in a goalless draw last time out and may be content to remain unbeaten, with Augsburg unlikely to push too hard for a winner either. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
32.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 26.59% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 40.91% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.61% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (-0.364 -0.36)53.22% (0.366 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (-0.309 -0.31)74.78% (0.31 0.31)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)30.62% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (-0.189 -0.19)66.85% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (-0.232 -0.23)25.62% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (-0.318 -0.32)60.51% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 32.5%
    Mainz 05 40.9%
    Draw 26.59%
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.9%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Mainz 05

Augsburg
42.4%
Draw
36.4%
Mainz 05
21.2%
33
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 5.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz 05
Gouweleeuw (11' pen.), Vargas (56')
Gruezo (75'), Gouweleeuw (76'), Gumny (80')
Widmer (54')
Bell (15'), Widmer (83')
Oct 22, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
4-1
Augsburg
Onisiwo (10'), Bell (15'), Burkardt (26', 71')
Caricol (70')
Zeqiri (69')
Oxford (8'), Gouweleeuw (63'), Vargas (67')
Feb 28, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
3-1
Mainz 05
Vargas (40'), Hahn (80', 90+1')
Vargas (49'), Strobl (58'), Iago (66'), Sarenren-Bazee (85'), Hahn (90+2')
Onisiwo (64')
St Juste (84')
Jun 14, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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