MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 22:48:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Mainz logo

Augsburg
2 - 1
Mainz 05

Gouweleeuw (11' pen.), Vargas (56')
Gruezo (75'), Gouweleeuw (76'), Gumny (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Widmer (54')
Bell (15'), Widmer (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: BW Lohne vs. Augsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Augsburg 2-2 Mainz 05

Both sides will be looking to claim maximum points on Wednesday, with Mainz having an outside chance of qualifying for Europe, while Augsburg will be keen to move further away from the relegation zone. Each of the last 12 Bundesliga meetings between these two sides has seen a victory for one team or the other, but as there is little separate them this time around, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
36.48%25.29%38.23%
Both teams to score 56.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53%47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.24%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83%25.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11%59.89%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78%24.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44%58.56%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 36.48%
    Mainz 05 38.23%
    Draw 25.28%
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 0.93%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.03%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.23%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Mainz 05

Augsburg
51.3%
Draw
26.6%
Mainz 05
22.1%
154
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
4-1
Augsburg
Onisiwo (10'), Bell (15'), Burkardt (26', 71')
Caricol (70')
Zeqiri (69')
Oxford (8'), Gouweleeuw (63'), Vargas (67')
Feb 28, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
3-1
Mainz 05
Vargas (40'), Hahn (80', 90+1')
Vargas (49'), Strobl (58'), Iago (66'), Sarenren-Bazee (85'), Hahn (90+2')
Onisiwo (64')
St Juste (84')
Jun 14, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 7, 2019 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz 05
Richter (41'), Niederlechner (65' pen.)
Vargas (28'), Jedvaj (88')
Oztunali (15')
Fernandes (44'), Quaison (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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