MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:28:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Hoffenheim

Five of the last six domestic contests between these sides at Westfalenstadion have been decided by a goal or fewer, and we anticipate a close game between two teams who have usually been able to be pretty tidy at the back. Dortmund will have a slight edge because of their resilience after losing a home fixture, plus their overall experience and quality seems to be just a little greater than their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.49%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
58.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 20.58% (0.0019999999999989 0) 20.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.57% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.58% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)35.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.54% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)57.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)11.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)37.34% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.07% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)66.2% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 58.49%
    Hoffenheim 20.93%
    Draw 20.58%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.74% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.56%
5-0 @ 1.3%
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 58.49%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.58%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 20.93%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
70.8%
Draw
18.5%
Hoffenheim
10.7%
178
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
3-2
Hoffenheim
Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')
Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-2
Hoffenheim
Sancho (24'), Braut Haaland (81')
Delaney (21'), Akanji (67')
Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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