MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 13:38:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Werder Bremen logo

Dortmund
2 - 3
Werder Bremen

Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

Last Six:
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Werder Bremen

 With Fullkrug and Ducksch in such excellent form, we can envisage the visitors scoring, but Dortmund should have too much for them overall. As last week's victory in Freiburg showed, BVB do not even necessarily need their main cast to fire to record victories, although they should be fired up by the competition for places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
52.06% (0.697 0.7) 20.94% (-0.54 -0.54) 27% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 68.02% (1.926 1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.72% (2.557 2.56)30.28% (-2.558 -2.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.47% (3.008 3.01)51.53% (-3.011 -3.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (1.089 1.09)12.08% (-1.09 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.38% (2.258 2.26)37.61% (-2.261 -2.26)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (1.246 1.25)22.62% (-1.248 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (1.819 1.82)56.24% (-1.822 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 52.06%
    Werder Bremen 27%
    Draw 20.94%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.597 -0.6)
3-2 @ 4.75% (0.271 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.208 0.21)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.24 0.24)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.06 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.143 0.14)
4-3 @ 1.24% (0.159 0.16)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.141 0.14)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 52.06%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.545 -0.55)
2-2 @ 6.74% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 2.73% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-3 @ 2.35% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.442 -0.44)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.107 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund
86.9%
Draw
9.1%
Werder Bremen
4.0%
99
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-1
Werder Bremen
Reyna (29'), Braut Haaland (34' pen., 38'), Hummels (87')
Dahoud (48')
Rashica (14')
Friedl (60'), Veljkovic (66'), Gross (77'), Moisander (85')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-2
Dortmund
Zagadou (52'), Braut Haaland (66')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Werder Bremen
3-2
Dortmund
Selke (16'), Bittencourt (30'), Rashica (70')
Bittencourt (23'), Moisander (85')
Braut Haaland (67'), Reyna (78')
Schulz (49'), Reus (64'), Reyna (85')
Sep 28, 2019 5.30pm
Dortmund
2-2
Werder Bremen
Gotze (9'), Reus (41')
Weigl (68')
Rashica (7'), Friedl (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!