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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
49.85% ( 0.02) | 22.56% ( 0) | 27.59% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 62.47% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.24% ( -0.01) | 37.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.99% ( -0.02) | 60.01% ( 0.02) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.57% ( 0) | 15.43% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.74% ( 0.01) | 44.26% ( -0.01) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( -0.02) | 26.13% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( -0.03) | 61.2% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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