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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
54.76% ( 1.02) | 22.61% ( -0.22) | 22.62% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.18% ( 0.11) | 42.81% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.78% ( 0.11) | 65.21% ( -0.11) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.45% ( 0.39) | 15.55% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.51% ( 0.72) | 44.48% ( -0.72) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( -0.65) | 32.73% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( -0.73) | 69.29% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.66% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.43% Total : 22.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
4 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
15 | St Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 2 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
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