MX23RW : Monday, September 16 17:22:49| >> :600:1155825:1155825:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
BRITA-Arena
Mainz logo

Wiesbaden
1 - 3
Mainz

Gozusirin (14')
Carstens (56'), Jonjic (120+3')
FT
(aet)
Kohr (59'), Burkardt (113'), Amiri (120+1')
Kohr (54'), Henriksen (112'), Caci (116'), Veratschnig (120'), Amiri (120+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's DFB-Pokal clash between Wehen Wiesbaden and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wehen Wiesbaden

All competitions
Last Game: Wiesbaden 0-2 Metz
Saturday, July 27 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Montpellier
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We say: Wehen Wiesbaden 1-3 Mainz 05

 Despite Wiesbaden making an unbeaten and promising start to the season, Mainz have been in superb form in front of goal in pre-season and we expect that to continue in their opening game as they look to build early momentum on Friday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Wehen Wiesbaden win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%).

Result
Wehen WiesbadenDrawMainz 05
32.14% (-0.764 -0.76) 25.04% (0.501 0.5) 42.82% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 56.57% (-2.022 -2.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-2.512 -2.51)46.75% (2.518 2.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-2.398 -2.4)69.01% (2.402 2.4)
Wehen Wiesbaden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-1.694 -1.69)27.64% (1.699 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (-2.232 -2.23)63.18% (2.237 2.24)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (-0.938 -0.94)21.82% (0.943 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (-1.452 -1.45)55.04% (1.457 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Wehen Wiesbaden 32.14%
    Mainz 05 42.82%
    Draw 25.03%
Wehen WiesbadenDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.447 0.45)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.615 0.61)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.697 0.7)
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% (0.344 0.34)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.82%

How you voted: Wiesbaden vs Mainz

Wehen Wiesbaden
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Mainz 05
77.8%
18
rhs 2.0
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