MX23RW : Tuesday, October 15 06:16:47| >> :120:56115:56115:
Bayern logo
Champions League | League Stage
Sep 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Dinamo Zagreb

Bayern
9 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb

Kane (19' pen., 57', 73' pen., 78' pen.), Guerreiro (33'), Olise (38', 61'), Sane (85'), Goretzka (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Petkovic (49'), Ogiwara (50')
Ristovski (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Dinamo Zagreb, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 Hajduk Split
Friday, September 13 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb

Bayern have won 20 of their last 25 Champions League home games, losing only once, so it is a daunting first-day trip for Dinamo to make. Blessed with an abundance of in-form attacking options, the hosts can continue in that vein and put three points on the board straight away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 9-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawDinamo Zagreb
64.71% (0.486 0.49) 18.67% (-0.104 -0.1) 16.62% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 60.31% (-0.487 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.63% (-0.236 -0.24)33.37% (0.24 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.85% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)55.15% (0.276 0.28)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.25% (0.051000000000002 0.05)9.75% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.55% (0.11200000000001 0.11)32.44% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (-0.575 -0.58)33.18% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (-0.64 -0.64)69.78% (0.643 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 64.71%
    Dinamo Zagreb 16.62%
    Draw 18.67%
Bayern MunichDrawDinamo Zagreb
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.147 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.5% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.8% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.37% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.042 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 64.71%
1-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.67%
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 16.62%

How you voted: Bayern vs Dinamo Zagreb

Bayern Munich
92.5%
Draw
4.4%
Dinamo Zagreb
3.1%
227
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dinamo Zagreb
0-2
Bayern

Goncalo (31'), Pivaric (73'), Eduardo (87')
Lewandowski (61', 64')
Sep 29, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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