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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Wolfsburg

 Despite the potential of a European hangover on Sunday, Tuchel's men should secure maximum points to bounce back from two defeats on the trot in all competitions. Wolfsburg have lost 24 and drawn twice in 26 visits to Bayern, and that wretched record is not expected to end this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
71.96% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 15.71% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 12.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.06% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.34% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05% (0.00099999999999056 0)6.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)72.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 71.96%
    Wolfsburg 12.33%
    Draw 15.71%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 8.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.57%
4-1 @ 5.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.79%
5-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-1 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 71.96%
1-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.46%
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.71%
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 12.33%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
83.5%
Draw
9.9%
Wolfsburg
6.6%
91
Head to Head
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Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
4-0
Wolfsburg
Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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