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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Freiburg |
33.58% ( -0.44) | 25.81% ( -0.01) | 40.61% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% ( -0.04) | 49.7% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% ( -0.04) | 71.71% ( 0.04) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( -0.29) | 28.17% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( -0.38) | 63.86% ( 0.38) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.81% ( 0.22) | 24.19% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.48% ( 0.31) | 58.52% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
13 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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