MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:03:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Hoffenheim
3 - 4
Werder Bremen

Bulter (5', 8'), Hlozek (12')
Tohumcu (10'), Matarazzo (45+3'), Stach (78'), Drexler (90+3')
Nsoki (18')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Malatini (21'), Stage (26', 39', 49')
Kohn (22'), Stage (73'), Topp (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Werder Bremen

It is difficult to ignore Hoffenheim's poor form in the Bundesliga, and given their sheer number of injury absentees, it would not be surprising if they started Sunday's match sluggishly. However, Werder Bremen's struggles in front of goal might mean they create few opportunities and this could allow the hosts the chance to get back into the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
49.29% (1.685 1.69) 22.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.89% (-1.68 -1.68)
Both teams to score 61.77% (-1.278 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-1.14 -1.14)38.79% (1.143 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-1.214 -1.21)61.1% (1.216 1.22)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (0.18299999999999 0.18)16% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.68% (0.332 0.33)45.32% (-0.329 -0.33)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-1.681 -1.68)26.46% (1.684 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-2.293 -2.29)61.64% (2.296 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 49.29%
    Werder Bremen 27.89%
    Draw 22.81%
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.174 0.17)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.457 0.46)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.459 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.84% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.152 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.89%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim
39.1%
Draw
39.1%
Werder Bremen
21.9%
64
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
2-1
Werder Bremen
Beier (8', 44')
Grillitsch (49'), Tohumcu (51'), Bulter (61'), Kaderabek (78')
Bulter (73')
Alvero (90+2')
Deman (85')
Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Werder Bremen
2-3
Hoffenheim
Schmid (17'), Stage (90+1')
Keita (32'), Ducksch (45+1'), Weiser (56'), Rapp (58'), Jung (90+3')
Beier (8'), Promel (29'), Bulter (90+2')
Promel (69'), Akpoguma (72'), Baumann (90'), Vogt (90+5')
Apr 2, 2023 4.30pm
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Hoffenheim
1-2
Werder Bremen
Dabour (32')
Ducksch (18'), Fullkrug (87' pen.)
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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