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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
29.53% ( -0.05) | 21.91% ( -0.01) | 48.55% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 66.44% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.8% ( 0.03) | 33.19% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.05% ( 0.04) | 54.94% ( -0.04) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.42% ( -0.02) | 22.57% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.83% ( -0.02) | 56.16% ( 0.02) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.8% ( 0.03) | 14.19% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.09% ( 0.06) | 41.9% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.15% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.65% Total : 48.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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