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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
69.08% ( 0.07) | 16.77% ( -0.04) | 14.15% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 61.44% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.79% ( 0.1) | 29.21% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.77% ( 0.13) | 50.23% ( -0.13) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.31% ( 0.04) | 7.69% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.59% ( 0.1) | 27.41% ( -0.11) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% ( 0.02) | 33.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( 0.03) | 70.07% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 69.08% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.77% | 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 14.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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