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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Undav (19'), Bilal Toure (61')
Vagnomann (49'), Chabot (63')
Chabot (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gigovic (84')
Schulz (31'), Remberg (66'), Gigovic (71'), Geschwill (80'), Arp (81')
Arp (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Holstein Kiel

Given the energy that Stuttgart expended against Juventus, it would not be surprising if they looked somewhat disjointed in the opening stages of the game. However, it is difficult to look past Holstein Kiel's poor form this season, and the hosts should be strong favourites heading into Saturday's match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawHolstein Kiel
69.08% (0.071999999999989 0.07) 16.77% (-0.038 -0.04) 14.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.44% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.79% (0.102 0.1)29.21% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.77% (0.126 0.13)50.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (0.040000000000006 0.04)7.69% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.59% (0.10299999999999 0.1)27.41% (-0.105 -0.11)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (0.022999999999996 0.02)33.44% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (0.025000000000002 0.03)70.07% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 69.08%
    Holstein Kiel 14.15%
    Draw 16.77%
StuttgartDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.64% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.79% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 69.08%
1-1 @ 7.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 16.77%
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.82% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 14.15%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel

Stuttgart
87.1%
Draw
12.9%
Holstein Kiel
0.0%
70
Head to Head
May 24, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Holstein Kiel
3-2
Stuttgart
Iyoha (7'), Dehm (78'), Lauberbach (79')
Iyoha (40'), Porath (69')
Gonzalez (59' pen.), Wamangituka (86')
Karazor (26'), Didavi (41')
Didavi (45')
Oct 20, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Stuttgart
0-1
Holstein Kiel

Badstuber (30'), Ascacibar (73')
Badstuber (53')
Jae-sung (55')
van den Bergh (38'), Schmidt (63')
Aug 8, 2015 7.30pm
First Round
Holstein Kiel
1-2
Stuttgart
Czichos (37')
Hermann (43')
Didavi (41'), Ginczek (60')
Gruezo (58'), Rupp (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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