Holstein Kiel2 - 4Frankfurt
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt
Considering the strong form of the visitors in recent Bundesliga matches, they should be favourites in Sunday's game. However, after Eintracht Frankfurt's Europa League exploits last Thursday, it would not be surprising if Holstein Kiel created opportunities due to the away team's fatigue. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
31.2% ( -0.21) | 23% ( -0.07) | 45.8% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 63.4% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.39% ( 0.24) | 37.61% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.16% ( 0.26) | 59.84% ( -0.26) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( -0.01) | 23.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.09% ( -0.01) | 57.91% ( 0.01) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( 0.2) | 16.84% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.16% ( 0.36) | 46.84% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.2% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.29% Total : 45.8% |
