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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Peterborough
3 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Poku (10'), Jade-Jones (33'), Mothersille (63')
Collins (36'), Fernandez (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McCormick (75'), O'Donkor (76')
Mola (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-4 Wigan
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Bristol Rovers

 Peterborough's home form appears to be something of an anomaly given their stellar results on the road so far this season, and considering the Posh won both of their encounters against Bristol Rovers 2-0 last season, recent history is also on their side. While the Pirates will be hoping to bounce back after consecutive league defeats, we expect Peterborough to have too much on the day for their opponents and ascend towards the playoff places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
52.4% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 22.52% (-0.114 -0.11) 25.08% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.692 0.69)39.75% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.716 0.72)62.1% (-0.718 -0.72)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.227 0.23)15.27% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (0.425 0.42)43.97% (-0.428 -0.43)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.502 0.5)29.01% (-0.505 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (0.619 0.62)64.91% (-0.621 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 52.4%
    Bristol Rovers 25.08%
    Draw 22.52%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.4%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 25.08%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Bristol Rovers

Peterborough United
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Bristol Rovers
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Peterborough

Thomas (45+2'), Hoole (69')
Randall (41'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (90')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Peterborough
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Collins (26'), Ajiboye (47')
Collins (15'), Jade-Jones (32'), Knight (54'), Kyprianou (62'), Ajiboye (77')

Evans (56'), Taylor (74')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Peterborough
Sinclair (53')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
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2-1
Bristol Rovers
Szmodics (20'), Mumba (63')
Norburn (79')
Coutts (30' pen.)
> Preview
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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