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Peterborough United
League One | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Oxford United

Peterborough
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Knight (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brannagan (45+3' pen.)
Harris (30'), Stevens (40'), Brown (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-2 Oxford United

Peterborough's array of attacking talent will undoubtedly cause Oxford problems in Wednesday's second leg, but with the U's unbeaten in four away matches, we think that they will hold Posh to a draw to secure their place at Wembley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
48.02% (-4.965 -4.97) 22.93% (1.272 1.27) 29.05% (3.692 3.69)
Both teams to score 62.28% (-1.308 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (-3.14 -3.14)38.5% (3.14 3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (-3.403 -3.4)60.79% (3.404 3.4)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (-2.807 -2.81)16.35% (2.807 2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-5.341 -5.34)45.96% (5.341 5.34)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.907 0.91)25.54% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (1.223 1.22)60.4% (-1.222 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 48.02%
    Oxford United 29.05%
    Draw 22.93%
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.402 0.4)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.704 -0.7)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.637 -0.64)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.369 -0.37)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.617 -0.62)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.513 -0.51)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.366 -0.37)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.343 -0.34)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 48.02%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.795 0.8)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.594 0.59)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.711 0.71)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.936 0.94)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.722 0.72)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.397 0.4)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.365 0.37)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.16 0.16)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.05%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Oxford Utd

Peterborough United
58.6%
Draw
20.2%
Oxford United
21.2%
99
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7.45pm
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
5-0
Peterborough
Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

Katongo (18')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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