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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Lincoln City

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Lincoln


Rodrigues (63'), Browne (73'), McGuane (89'), Brannagan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mandroiu (47' pen.)
Mitchell (16'), Duffy (20'), O'Connor (49'), Taylor (74'), Mandroiu (79'), House (90+5'), Erhahon (90+6')
Duffy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-0 Lincoln City

Oxford will be looking to do the league double over Lincoln, having run out 2-0 winners in the reverse match earlier this season, and we are backing the home side to secure all three points on Tuesday evening courtesy of the same scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawLincoln City
46.78% (0.10100000000001 0.1) 25.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 28.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (0.040000000000006 0.04)48.97% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.058999999999997 0.06)20.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (0.093999999999994 0.09)53.72% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)31.55% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)67.95% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 46.77%
    Lincoln City 28.11%
    Draw 25.11%
Oxford UnitedDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.11%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Lincoln

Oxford United
67.3%
Draw
15.4%
Lincoln City
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Lincoln
0-2
Oxford Utd
Brown (13'), Jensen (64' og.)
Rodrigues (40'), O'Donkor (89')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Lincoln
1-0
Oxford Utd
Mandroiu (23' pen.)
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Oxford Utd
1-2
Lincoln
Brannagan (69' pen.)
Seddon (36'), Taylor (38')
Hopper (21'), Scully (45+1')
Roughan (81'), Sorensen (88'), Eyoma (90+2')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
2-0
Oxford Utd
Scully (40'), Whittaker (56')

Taylor (90')
Kane (77')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Oxford Utd
3-1
Lincoln
Henry (12', 24', 73' pen.)
Scully (87' pen.)
Bridcutt (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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