Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.