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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Colchester United |
44.03% ( -0.26) | 26.46% ( 0.1) | 29.5% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.27% ( -0.32) | 53.73% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.79% ( -0.27) | 75.21% ( 0.27) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( -0.27) | 24.26% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.38% ( -0.38) | 58.62% ( 0.37) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.01% ( -0.05) | 32.99% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.42% ( -0.06) | 69.57% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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