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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Burnley logo

Rotherham
2 - 2
Burnley

Vitinho (45+2' og.), Kelly (85')
Quina (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Twine (26'), Benson (81')
Maatsen (45+4'), Benson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Luton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Burnley

Burnley are closing in on the Championship title, and we are expecting them to win on Tuesday night. Rotherham also need the points in their battle against survival, but we are finding it difficult to back against the Clarets, who should welcome back their key players for this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurnley
24.36% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.07%51.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.63% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.39% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.00099999999999056 0)18.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 24.36%
    Burnley 51.56%
    Draw 24.07%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 6.74%
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.66%
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.36%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.46%
0-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 51.56%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Burnley

Rotherham United
18.9%
Draw
10.8%
Burnley
70.3%
74
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Burnley
3-2
Rotherham
Rodriguez (35'), Benson (90+1'), Dervisoglu (90+10')
Wiles (3'), Ogbene (64')
Bramall (68')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Rotherham
Vokes (27' pen.), Arfield (86')
Gray (64'), Mee (68')

Burke (20'), Smallwood (85')
Mar 12, 2005 3pm
Aug 10, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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