League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd2 - 3Derby
FT(HT: 2-1)
Forsyth (45+3'), Thompson (81'), Cashin (86')
Wildsmith (2'), Bird (24'), Barkhuizen (59'), John-Jules (71')
Wildsmith (2'), Bird (24'), Barkhuizen (59'), John-Jules (71')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Derby
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
We said: Oxford United 1-1 Derby County
Derby may have won each of their last three away league games, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against an Oxford side that are unbeaten in eight home matches (W5, D3). Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Derby County |
35.75% ( -0.03) | 27.06% ( 0.01) | 37.19% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
