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League One
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League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
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Wigan
0 - 1
Derby


Morrison (14'), Adeeko (15'), Clare (36'), Lang (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nelson (19')
Hourihane (7'), Mendez-Laing (35'), Collins (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Wigan
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 3-1 Lincoln
Thursday, December 21 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Derby County

 Looking at past results between Wigan and Derby County, we anticipate a cagey Boxing Day at the DW Stadium. Warne's men head into the game as one of the most in-form sides in the division and we fancy them claiming all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawDerby County
25.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.01% (0.0030000000000001 0) 49.38% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.75% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)50.25% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (-0.032 -0.03)72.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)34.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.038 -0.04)70.9% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.37% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (-0.012 -0.01)52.77% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 25.61%
    Derby County 49.37%
    Draw 25%
Wigan AthleticDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.61%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 11.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-2 @ 8.82% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 49.37%

How you voted: Wigan vs Derby

Wigan Athletic
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Derby County
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Derby
1-2
Wigan
Forsyth (57')
Smith (37'), Cashin (48')
Wyke (37', 72')
Hughes (49'), Smith (88')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Wigan
1-1
Derby
Garner (81')
Evans (61')
Waghorn (93')
Bielik (22'), Bogle (30'), Lawrence (43')
> Match Report
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Derby
1-0
Wigan
Shinnie (91')
Shinnie (64'), Malone (65')

Robinson (51'), Macleod (92')
> Match Report
Mar 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
2-1
Wigan
Bennett (62'), Malone (78')
Johnson (41'), Bennett (59'), Wilson (63'), Tomori (71')
Massey (25')
Morsy (37')
> Match Report
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Wigan
0-1
Derby

Morsy (32')
Naismith (15')
Marriott (21')
Wilson (32'), Bryson (76')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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