League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
We said: Oxford United 2-1 Wigan Athletic
With stakes growing in the battle for playoff places in League One, Oxford United know that they cannot afford a lot of slip ups. The hosts should edge this match but we expect the visitors to put up a good fight.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.96% . A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%) . The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result Oxford United Draw Wigan Athletic 44.96% ( 0.02) 25.41% ( 0.02) 29.63% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.09)
50.59% ( -0.1) 49.41% ( 0.1)
28.55% ( -0.09) 71.45% ( 0.09)
78.04% ( -0.03) 21.96% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.76% ( -0.05) 55.24% ( 0.05)
69.34% ( -0.08) 30.66% ( 0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.09% ( -0.09) 66.91% ( 0.09)
Oxford United 44.95%
Wigan Athletic 29.63%
Draw 25.41%
Oxford United Draw Wigan Athletic 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.95% 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.63%
How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Wigan
Oxford United
Draw
Wigan Athletic
12
rhs 2.0
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