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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Wigan logo

Oxford Utd
4 - 2
Wigan

Murphy (45+3'), Brannagan (55'), Rodrigues (76'), Goodrham (90+4')
Dale (39'), Moore (64'), Brannagan (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jones (41'), Aasgaard (80')
Hughes (12'), Maloney (13'), Adeeko (23'), Jones (42'), Sze (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Wigan Athletic

With stakes growing in the battle for playoff places in League One, Oxford United know that they cannot afford a lot of slip ups. The hosts should edge this match but we expect the visitors to put up a good fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
44.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 25.41% (0.02 0.02) 29.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (-0.101 -0.1)49.41% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)71.45% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)21.96% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)55.24% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)30.66% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)66.91% (0.092000000000013 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 44.95%
    Wigan Athletic 29.63%
    Draw 25.41%
Oxford UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Wigan

Oxford United
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Wigan Athletic
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Wigan
2-0
Oxford Utd
Humphrys (17'), Lang (80')
Adeeko (20'), Shaw (60'), Lang (84')

Rodriguez (79'), Beadle (81')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Wigan
1-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (36')
Shinnie (49'), Lang (65')
Taylor (23')
Moore (34'), Kane (45+2'), Brannagan (65'), McNally (69')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Oxford Utd
2-3
Wigan
Williams (33'), Taylor (59')
Taylor (36'), McGuane (90+1')
Keane (8'), Power (32'), McClean (86')
Darikwa (30'), Power (36'), Naylor (44'), Whatmough (72'), McClean (90')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
2-1
Wigan
Winnall (72'), Moore (83')
Lang (57')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Wigan
1-2
Oxford Utd
Aasgaard (89')
James (83'), Merrie (90+8')
Taylor (61'), Henry (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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