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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Peterborough United |
38.98% ( 0.12) | 23.99% ( -0.02) | 37.03% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 61.49% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.17% ( 0.08) | 40.83% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.78% ( 0.09) | 63.22% ( -0.08) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% ( 0.1) | 21.1% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% ( 0.14) | 53.93% ( -0.14) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.93% ( -0.01) | 22.07% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.59% ( -0.02) | 55.41% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |