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League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Stevenage

Peterborough
2 - 1
Stevenage

O'Brien-Brady (6'), Poku (90+5')
Wallin (68'), Collins (78'), Dornelly (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thompson (64')
Butler (24'), Freestone (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 0-1 Stevenage

Peterborough may have been scoring for fun before being swept aside by Wigan, but Ferguson's men will be ruing the loss of their captain against one of the best defensive sides in the division. Stevenage do not score many themselves, but as was the case in midweek, Revell's side can break the deadlock and shut up shop against their injury-hit visitors to continue their playoff push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
44.75% (0.108 0.11) 25.78% (0.0020000000000024 0) 29.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49% (-0.067 -0.07)51% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)72.87% (0.056999999999988 0.06)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.022999999999996 0.02)22.73% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.41% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (-0.117 -0.12)31.59% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-0.133 -0.13)68% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 44.75%
    Stevenage 29.48%
    Draw 25.77%
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.48%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Stevenage

Peterborough United
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Stevenage
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 38
Peterborough
3-1
Stevenage
Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')
Freeman (85')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Stevenage
2-2
Peterborough
Wildin (22'), Thompson (30')
Piergianni (34'), Ashby-Hammond (66')
Randall (51'), Jade-Jones (81')
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
1-2
Stevenage
Jade-Jones (9')
Knight (50')
J (18'), Piergianni (84')
Reeves (32'), Earley (50')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-0
Peterborough
Reid (90+3')
Taylor (70')

Taylor (2'), Knight (64')
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-0
Stevenage
Eisa (11'), Jade-Jones (94')
Toney (55')

Fernandez (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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