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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Stevenage
1 - 0
Wrexham

Thompson (10')
Butler (27'), Roberts (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (39'), Cannon (68'), O'Connell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 0-1 Wrexham

Early into the new campaign, Wrexham have proven they have a lot more attacking depth outside of Mullin, and we believe they will be able to overcome a stubborn Stevenage side who are not particularly dangerous going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
StevenageDrawWrexham
45.57% (-4.228 -4.23) 26.16% (1.951 1.95) 28.27% (2.278 2.28)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-4.352 -4.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-6.554 -6.55)53.14% (6.553 6.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-5.854 -5.85)74.71% (5.855 5.86)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (-4.505 -4.51)23.26% (4.505 4.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (-7.037 -7.04)57.18% (7.037 7.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-1.676 -1.68)33.61% (1.676 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (-1.872 -1.87)70.26% (1.872 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 45.57%
    Wrexham 28.27%
    Draw 26.16%
StevenageDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 11.4% (1.38 1.38)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.935 -0.94)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.638 -0.64)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.647 -0.65)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.628 -0.63)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.484 -0.48)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.99 0.99)
0-0 @ 7.82% (1.829 1.83)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.523 -0.52)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.53% (1.688 1.69)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.745 0.75)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Wrexham

Stevenage
15.6%
Draw
11.1%
Wrexham
73.3%
45
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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