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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Stevenage
1 - 0
Wrexham

Thompson (10')
Butler (27'), Roberts (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (39'), Cannon (68'), O'Connell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 0-1 Wrexham

Early into the new campaign, Wrexham have proven they have a lot more attacking depth outside of Mullin, and we believe they will be able to overcome a stubborn Stevenage side who are not particularly dangerous going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
StevenageDrawWrexham
45.57% (-4.228 -4.23) 26.16% (1.951 1.95) 28.27% (2.278 2.28)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-4.352 -4.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-6.554 -6.55)53.14% (6.553 6.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-5.854 -5.85)74.71% (5.855 5.86)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (-4.505 -4.51)23.26% (4.505 4.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (-7.037 -7.04)57.18% (7.037 7.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-1.676 -1.68)33.61% (1.676 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (-1.872 -1.87)70.26% (1.872 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 45.57%
    Wrexham 28.27%
    Draw 26.16%
StevenageDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 11.4% (1.38 1.38)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.935 -0.94)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.638 -0.64)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.647 -0.65)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.628 -0.63)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.484 -0.48)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.99 0.99)
0-0 @ 7.82% (1.829 1.83)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.523 -0.52)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.53% (1.688 1.69)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.745 0.75)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Wrexham

Stevenage
15.6%
Draw
11.1%
Wrexham
73.3%
45
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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