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League One
Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Northampton Town

Stevenage
2 - 0
Northampton

Kemp (89'), Reid (90+1')
Piergianni (2'), Revell (3'), White (45'), Thompson (52')
Revell (0')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Eaves (2'), Odimayo (18'), McGeehan (51')
Eaves (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 0-1 Northampton Town

 Both clubs have struggled for form this season, though Stevenage have a commendable defensive record and Northampton are facing a major injury crisis. However, Jon Brady's team have managed to score 19 goals this term despite their circumstances, eight more than Revell's side, and this greater attacking threat could see them come out narrow winners on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
52.98% (-0.376 -0.38) 25.65% (0.398 0.4) 21.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.95% (-1.121 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6% (-1.462 -1.46)56.4% (1.456 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59% (-1.194 -1.19)77.41% (1.188 1.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.747 -0.75)21.34% (0.741 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-1.163 -1.16)54.3% (1.158 1.16)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.41% (-0.865 -0.87)41.59% (0.859 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.92% (-0.767 -0.77)78.07% (0.761 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 52.97%
    Northampton Town 21.37%
    Draw 25.64%
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 10.58% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.97%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.485 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.37%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Northampton

Stevenage
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Northampton Town
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stevenage
3-0
Northampton
Reid (2'), Roberts (42'), List (67')

Sowerby (52')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Northampton
0-1
Stevenage

Odimayo (17'), Hoskins (69')
Piergianni (80')
Piergianni (4'), Evans (5'), Butler (88'), Burns (90+13')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Northampton
1-1
Stevenage
Appere (5')
Reid (72')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
2-3
Northampton
Rose (35'), Gilbey (85')
Appere (1' pen.), Bowie (82'), McWilliams (87')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Stevenage
1-2
Northampton
Lines (82')
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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