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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Cambridge United |
59.56% ( -0.25) | 23.35% ( 0.12) | 17.09% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 45.66% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( -0.23) | 53.18% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% ( -0.2) | 74.75% ( 0.2) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.44% ( -0.17) | 17.56% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.9% ( -0.3) | 48.1% ( 0.31) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.39% ( 0.03) | 44.61% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.38% ( 0.03) | 80.62% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.55% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 17.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 49 |
2 | Wrexham | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 43 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Reading | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 37 |
7 | Barnsley | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 36 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 34 |
9 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 33 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 31 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 31 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 29 |
15 | Blackpool | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 24 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 24 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 22 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 20 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 17 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Burton Albion | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 13 |
> League One Full Table |