EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Northampton2 - 5Burton Albion
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Burton Albion
Northampton can afford to play for a draw in order to guarantee qualification from Group F, while Burton are growing in confidence and could take a point away from Sixfields on Tuesday. It remains to be seen whether that would be enough to stop Notts County overtaking them, though. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
45.32% ( 0.02) | 24.82% ( -0.01) | 29.86% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.19% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( 0.04) | 46.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.98% ( 0.04) | 69.01% ( -0.04) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% ( 0.03) | 20.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% ( 0.04) | 53.29% ( -0.04) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.84% ( 0.02) | 29.15% ( -0.01) |