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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion

Bolton
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Collins (61'), Williams (63')
Johnston (47'), Williams (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orsi (66')
Bennett (24'), Whitfield (86'), Sweeney (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-0 Burton Albion

The Trotters may have failed to bolt the back door shut at home in recent weeks, but even without Evatt barking orders from the touchline, Bolton should not face many obstacles en route to a convincing win here. The international break did come at a good time for a defensively suspect Burton side, but Robinson's side will surely return home battered and bruised as Bolton set their sights on the top half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
64.17% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 19.34% (0.0010000000000012 0) 16.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.44% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.11%10.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.03%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.17%
    Burton Albion 16.49%
    Draw 19.34%
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 7.28%
3-0 @ 7.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.03%
4-0 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 64.17%
1-1 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.34%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-1 @ 4%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.49%

How you voted: Bolton vs Burton Albion

Bolton Wanderers
89.3%
Draw
3.6%
Burton Albion
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Bolton
1-0
Burton Albion
Moon (51' og.)
Morley (86')

Baah (57'), Gilligan (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Helm (46')
Harper (15'), Oshilaja (56'), Crocombe (57'), Caprice (74'), Moon (84'), Carayol (87')
Charles (58')
Maghoma (20'), Thomason (44')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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