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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Burton Albion |
64.17% ( -0) | 19.34% ( 0) | 16.49% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 57.44% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.09% ( 0) | 36.91% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.91% ( 0) | 59.09% ( -0) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.11% | 10.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.97% ( 0) | 35.03% |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.46% ( 0) | 35.54% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.69% ( 0) | 72.31% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 7.28% 3-0 @ 7.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.03% 4-0 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.79% 5-0 @ 1.73% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.7% Total : 64.17% | 1-1 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.34% | 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-1 @ 4% 0-2 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.49% Total : 16.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |