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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Kalinauskas (10'), Orsi (51')
Webster (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lloyd (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

With two fresh faces at the helm, this may turn out to be a different type of game than it would have been two weeks ago. Nevertheless, the respective teams know that they cannot afford to lose this game, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
43.74% (-0.286 -0.29) 26.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 29.63% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.32% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.7% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)24.66% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)59.18% (0.208 0.21)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (0.182 0.18)33.2% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (0.202 0.2)69.81% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 43.74%
    Shrewsbury Town 29.63%
    Draw 26.62%
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.74%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury

Burton Albion
50.0%
Draw
6.3%
Shrewsbury Town
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
1-0
Shrewsbury
Lubala (16')
Oshilaja (67'), Crocombe (84')

Kenneh (83')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Shrewsbury
2-1
Burton Albion
Bayliss (3'), Dunkley (45+4')
Benning (83')
Bennett (90+7')
Blackman (4'), Brayford (72'), Oshilaja (76'), Chauke (79')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Burton Albion
0-4
Shrewsbury
Saydee (1', 43'), Leahy (58' pen.), Dunkley (90+4')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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