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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Kalinauskas (10'), Orsi (51')
Webster (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lloyd (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

With two fresh faces at the helm, this may turn out to be a different type of game than it would have been two weeks ago. Nevertheless, the respective teams know that they cannot afford to lose this game, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
43.74% (-0.286 -0.29) 26.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 29.63% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.32% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.7% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)24.66% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)59.18% (0.208 0.21)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (0.182 0.18)33.2% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (0.202 0.2)69.81% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 43.74%
    Shrewsbury Town 29.63%
    Draw 26.62%
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.74%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury

Burton Albion
50.0%
Draw
6.3%
Shrewsbury Town
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
1-0
Shrewsbury
Lubala (16')
Oshilaja (67'), Crocombe (84')

Kenneh (83')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Shrewsbury
2-1
Burton Albion
Bayliss (3'), Dunkley (45+4')
Benning (83')
Bennett (90+7')
Blackman (4'), Brayford (72'), Oshilaja (76'), Chauke (79')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Burton Albion
0-4
Shrewsbury
Saydee (1', 43'), Leahy (58' pen.), Dunkley (90+4')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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