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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
57.29% ( 0) | 24% ( -0) | 18.7% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 46.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.59% ( 0) | 53.4% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.06% ( 0) | 74.93% ( -0) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.53% ( 0) | 18.47% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.33% ( 0) | 49.66% ( -0) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.22% ( -0) | 42.77% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.9% ( -0) | 79.1% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 13.34% 2-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.71% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 18.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |