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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Mansfield Town

Wigan
1 - 2
Mansfield

Aasgaard (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evans (29'), Baccus (62')
Akins (36'), Baccus (82'), Cargill (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Wigan
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Mansfield Town

Wigan are a solid defensive side, and it would not be surprising to see them hold out for another goalless draw on Tuesday night. However, Mansfield are one of the best attacking sides in the league, and we think this might influence the game, though we are predicting a draw in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawMansfield Town
34.45% (0.661 0.66) 27.55% (0.206 0.21) 38% (-0.864 -0.86)
Both teams to score 49.07% (-0.519 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (-0.699 -0.7)56.62% (0.701 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (-0.564 -0.56)77.59% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.081999999999994 0.08)31.04% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (0.094999999999999 0.09)67.35% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.83500000000001 -0.84)28.84% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (-1.055 -1.06)64.7% (1.057 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 34.45%
    Mansfield Town 38%
    Draw 27.55%
Wigan AthleticDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.238 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38%

How you voted: Wigan vs Mansfield

Wigan Athletic
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Mansfield Town
50.0%
24
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Reading199463028231
7Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
8Barnsley208662926330
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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