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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Mansfield Town

Crawley
0 - 2
Mansfield


Adeyemo (22'), Williams (36'), Ibrahim (36'), Darcy (69'), Mullarkey (76'), Roles (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregory (12'), Waine (90+2')
Evans (13'), Clough (14'), Baccus (29'), Lewis (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Mansfield Town

Crawley did not make a great start to life without their previous manager Lindsey, and they were also very wasteful in front of goal in their defeat against Bolton. Meanwhile for Mansfield, Clough has undoubtedly got his side believing they can compete at this level, and with the plethora of attacking options at his disposal, we think the Stags could take all three points on Tuesday and win their fourth league game in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
22.12% (-4.339 -4.34) 21.96% (-0.229 -0.23) 55.92% (4.567 4.57)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-4.377 -4.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (-3.484 -3.48)40.41% (3.483 3.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.22% (-3.679 -3.68)62.78% (3.678 3.68)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-5.346 -5.35)31.83% (5.345 5.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-6.597 -6.6)68.27% (6.596 6.6)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (0.274 0.27)14.34% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (0.529 0.53)42.19% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 22.12%
    Mansfield Town 55.92%
    Draw 21.95%
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 5.81% (-0.761 -0.76)
1-0 @ 5.23% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.694 -0.69)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-0 @ 1.14% (-0.372 -0.37)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.12%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.677 -0.68)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.694 0.69)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.4 -0.4)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.344 0.34)
0-1 @ 8.87% (1.422 1.42)
0-2 @ 8.61% (1.45 1.45)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.283 0.28)
0-3 @ 5.57% (0.984 0.98)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.399 -0.4)
1-4 @ 3.1% (0.166 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.499 0.5)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.076 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 55.92%

How you voted: Crawley vs Mansfield

Crawley Town
12.9%
Draw
9.7%
Mansfield Town
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Mansfield
1-4
Crawley
Boateng (80')
Gordon (4'), Tsaroulla (24'), Orsi (55'), Lolas (56')
Wright (45+1'), Gordon (64'), Kelley (81')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Crawley
1-3
Mansfield
Orsi (36' pen.)
Wright (8'), Conroy (25'), Gladwin (38'), Kelly (57'), Williams (68')
Williams (68')
Cargill (12'), Keillor-Dunn (56'), Maris (64')
Oates (26'), Clarke (34'), Brunt (59')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Mansfield
4-1
Crawley
Clarke (4'), Kilgour (47'), Keillor-Dunn (50', 65')
Ogungbo (70')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crawley
3-2
Mansfield
Nadesan (2', 46'), Nichols (13')
Bowery (16' pen.), Lapslie (27')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Mansfield
2-0
Crawley
Murphy (26'), Akins (72')
Perch (36'), McLaughlin (36'), Lapslie (83')

Tilley (45+2'), Tilley (69')
Tilley (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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