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Championship header 2

League Two
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Crawley Town

Mansfield
4 - 1
Crawley

Clarke (4'), Kilgour (47'), Keillor-Dunn (50', 65')
Quinn (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ogungbo (70')
Gordon (5'), Johnson (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Sutton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawCrawley Town
58.47% (-0.213 -0.21) 22.96% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 18.56% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 49.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.45% (-0.209 -0.21)49.54% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (-0.187 -0.19)71.57% (0.185 0.19)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.146 -0.15)16.64% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (-0.264 -0.26)46.48% (0.26 0.26)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)40.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (0.013000000000002 0.01)77.28% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 58.47%
    Crawley Town 18.56%
    Draw 22.96%
Mansfield TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 12.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 58.47%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.74% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 18.56%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Crawley
3-2
Mansfield
Nadesan (2', 46'), Nichols (13')
Johnson (29')
Bowery (16' pen.), Lapslie (27')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
2-0
Crawley
Murphy (26'), Akins (72')
Perch (36'), McLaughlin (36'), Lapslie (83')

Tilley (45+2'), Tilley (69')
Tilley (69')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Mansfield
Tilley (48')
Hawkins (24'), Oates (72')
Hawkins (20'), McLaughlin (52')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Crawley
1-0
Mansfield
Tilley (90+2')

Benning (62'), Quinn (90+4')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Mansfield
3-3
Crawley
Sweeney (4'), Lapslie (72'), Cook (90+3')
Watters (49', 59'), Dallison (54')
Frost (76'), Watters (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2912983629745
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2981293940-136
17Newport CountyNewport2896133747-1033
18Gillingham2795132529-432
19BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2965182746-1923
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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