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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Crawley Town

Sutton
3 - 0
Crawley

Bugiel (40', 47'), Angol (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mutch (38'), Roles (61'), Lynch (72'), Addai (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Crawley Town

 Crawley are rarely thrashed despite their lowly league position, but we expect Sutton to continue their strong form by squeezing out a vital victory. Gray's side have won 10 league games at home this season, whereas Crawley have been defeated in 11 of their winless 17 trips away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
61.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 22.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 15.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 45.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.019999999999996 0.02)52.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.017000000000003 0.02)73.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (0.010000000000005 0.01)16.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)46.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)45.44% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 61.43%
    Crawley Town 15.95%
    Draw 22.61%
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 61.43%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 15.95%

How you voted: Sutton vs Crawley

Sutton United
92.1%
Draw
0.0%
Crawley Town
7.9%
38
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Sutton
Oteh (90+5')
Craig (69')
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Sutton

Dallison (19'), Francillette (83')
Olaofe (84')
John (75'), Milsom (75'), Bouzanis (76'), Boldewijn (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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