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Championship header 2

League Two
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
Mansfield Town

Northampton
1 - 0
Mansfield

Hoskins (28' pen.)
J (5'), Haynes (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wallace (4'), Pym (27'), Law (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Mansfield Town

 Even with their treatment room nearing full capacity, Mansfield's continued commitment to attacking has been admirable, and Northampton's resistance should prove futile at a ground where success has often eluded them in recent times. Also working around jellied legs and their own injury crisis, Tuesday's recipe is seemingly one for defeat for Brady's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
31.82% (-1.192 -1.19) 28.09% (0.149 0.15) 40.08% (1.042 1.04)
Both teams to score 46.93% (-0.732 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)59.05% (0.772 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.601 -0.6)79.51% (0.59899999999999 0.6)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-1.242 -1.24)34.08% (1.24 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-1.358 -1.36)70.76% (1.356 1.36)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.22500000000001 0.23)28.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (0.279 0.28)64.66% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 31.83%
    Mansfield Town 40.07%
    Draw 28.09%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.115 -0.11)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 12.21% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.311 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
43.5%
Draw
21.7%
Mansfield Town
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Swan (84')
Harbottle (7')
Hoskins (88')
May 18, 2022 7.45pm
Northampton
0-1
Mansfield

Pinnock (87'), Horsfall (90+2')
McLaughlin (32')
O'Toole (53'), Wallace (63')
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
1-0
Northampton
Hawkins (21')
McLaughlin (5'), Hewitt (65'), Stirk (85')

Lewis (75')
Lewis (75')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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