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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Crawley
1 - 1
Doncaster

Khaleel (82')
Ogungbo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavery (45+6')
Anderson (9'), Brown (45'), Close (90+6'), Molyneux (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Doncaster Rovers

 Crawley appear to have turned a corner in recent weeks, running out comprehensive 3-1 winners against Harrogate Town in their last home match, before beating Wimbledon on their travels. With Doncaster struggling to put any sort of run together, particularly on the road, we expect the hosts to run out narrow winners on Tuesday night, in a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
43.39% (0.463 0.46) 26.54% (-0.142 -0.14) 30.07% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 50.8% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19% (0.433 0.43)53.81% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72% (0.363 0.36)75.28% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.43000000000001 0.43)24.61% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.595 0.59)59.12% (-0.59 -0.59)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)69.16% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 43.39%
    Doncaster Rovers 30.07%
    Draw 26.53%
Crawley TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.155 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Crawley vs Doncaster

Crawley Town
49.0%
Draw
22.4%
Doncaster Rovers
28.6%
49
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Doncaster
4-1
Crawley
Olowu (40'), Miller (59' pen., 67'), Hurst (83')
Tilley (42')
Tilley (30')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Crawley
0-0
Doncaster

McNerney (54'), Smith (55'), Boldewijn (83'), Young (93')

Baudry (63'), Alcock (93')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Doncaster
1-1
Crawley
Coppinger (49')
Houghton (83')
Collins (26')
Davey (89'), Smith (92'), Blackman (95')
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Crawley
0-5
Doncaster

Edwards (26'), Wordsworth (62')
Walsh (67')
Butler (38'), Wellens (56'), Tyson (64'), Forrester (73'), Main (91')
Stevens (20'), Tyson (67')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-0
Crawley

Bennett (35')

Leacock (52'), Sadler (88')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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