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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Northampton Town

Rotherham
3 - 0
Northampton

Clarke-Harris (3', 33'), Green (49')
Powell (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoskins (44'), Waghorn (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 3-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Northampton Town

With both teams having got wins on the board lately, this could be a higher-quality fixture than maybe it would have been a few weeks ago. Nevertheless, we are backing Rotherham to come through with the three points, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
60.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 22.73% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 16.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.94% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)16.64% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (0.012 0.01)46.48% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 60.91%
    Northampton Town 16.36%
    Draw 22.73%
Rotherham UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 60.91%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.31%
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.36%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-3
Rotherham

van Veen (72')
Smith (18'), Ball (62'), Towell (81')
Taylor (14'), Ajayi (37'), Mattock (59')
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Rotherham
3-1
Northampton
Pringle (75'), Noble (79'), Nardiello (42' pen.)
Nardiello (43'), Bradley (63'), Slew (85')
Carlisle (90')
Aug 21, 2012 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Rotherham
Hackett (26'), Nicholls (86')
Guttridge (63'), Akinfenwa (87'), Platt (90')
Pringle (42')
May 5, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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