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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Northampton Town

Rotherham
3 - 0
Northampton

Clarke-Harris (3', 33'), Green (49')
Powell (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoskins (44'), Waghorn (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Rotherham 3-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Peterborough
Monday, December 9 at 8pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Northampton Town

 With both teams having got wins on the board lately, this could be a higher-quality fixture than maybe it would have been a few weeks ago. Nevertheless, we are backing Rotherham to come through with the three points, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
60.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 22.73% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 16.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.94% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)16.64% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (0.012 0.01)46.48% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 60.91%
    Northampton Town 16.36%
    Draw 22.73%
Rotherham UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 60.91%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.31%
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.36%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-3
Rotherham

van Veen (72')
Smith (18'), Ball (62'), Towell (81')
Taylor (14'), Ajayi (37'), Mattock (59')
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Northampton
Moore (52')
Potter (82'), Ihiekwe (90')

Pierre (43')
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Rotherham
3-1
Northampton
Pringle (75'), Noble (79'), Nardiello (42' pen.)
Nardiello (43'), Bradley (63'), Slew (85')
Carlisle (90')
Aug 21, 2012 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Rotherham
Hackett (26'), Nicholls (86')
Guttridge (63'), Akinfenwa (87'), Platt (90')
Pringle (42')
May 5, 2012 3pm
Rotherham
1-1
Northampton
Revell (31')
Akinfenwa (90')
Carlisle (81'), Akinfenwa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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