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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Mansfield Town |
25.01% ( -0.64) | 26.53% ( -0.13) | 48.46% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 47.37% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.45% ( 0.01) | 56.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.46% ( 0.01) | 77.54% ( -0.01) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.82% ( -0.56) | 38.18% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.06% ( -0.54) | 74.94% ( 0.54) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( 0.36) | 23.38% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( 0.52) | 57.36% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.59% Total : 25.01% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 48.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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