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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Mansfield Town |
25.01% ( -0.64) | 26.53% ( -0.13) | 48.46% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 47.37% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.45% ( 0.01) | 56.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.46% ( 0.01) | 77.54% ( -0.01) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.82% ( -0.56) | 38.18% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.06% ( -0.54) | 74.94% ( 0.54) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( 0.36) | 23.38% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( 0.52) | 57.36% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.59% Total : 25.01% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 48.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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