EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Grimsby Town4 - 0Crewe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Newport County | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Grimsby Town | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Swindon Town | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Crewe Alexandra | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 3 | 6 |
We said: Grimsby Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra
Crewe look strong at League Two level this season and will fancy their chances of overcoming a second-string Grimsby on Tuesday night. We are expecting it to be a tight match, as Crewe will also make a number of changes, but the visitors should have enough to progress to the second round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
45.09% ( -0.05) | 25.13% ( 0.01) | 29.78% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
