Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Grimsby Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Stockport
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Grimsby Town |
28.25% ( 0.47) | 25.97% ( 0.11) | 45.78% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 51.51% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
