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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Crewe
1 - 0
Tranmere

Colkett (34')
Agyei (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davies (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Carlisle
Thursday, December 29 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Tranmere
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Tranmere Rovers

Tranmere have already defeated Crewe twice this season, running out comfortable 3-0 winners in the home clash, so there is no reason why they should not be able to secure another victory on Sunday. The Rovers have had a solid defence throughout the season, and so they are likely to keep a clean sheet, but their lack of goals means they should only win by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
25.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.57% (0.004999999999999 0) 47.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)60.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.27% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.64% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.49% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)60.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 25.16%
    Tranmere Rovers 47.27%
    Draw 27.56%
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 25.16%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 13.93%
0-2 @ 9.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 47.27%

How you voted: Crewe vs Tranmere

Crewe Alexandra
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Tranmere Rovers
42.9%
14
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-0
Crewe
Simeu (22'), Nevitt (56', 90')
Merrie (52')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Tranmere
Ainley (20', 51'), Kirk (67')
Norwood (36'), Banks (83')
Mullin (79'), Banks (89'), Norwood (89')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-4
Crewe
Harris (45'), Stockton (45'), Mullin (46')
Gilmour (80'), Jennings (90')
Porter (20', 85'), Nicholls (73'), Jones (86')
Ray (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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